Seltzr Guy Six-Pack: Week 13

A little late, but don’t forget to grab this week’s six pack before the week is over!

Also, Happy Thanksgiving from the Seltzr Guy!

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1) ML - Money line

I’m going back for seconds.. such an apt way to start the Thanksgiving week of NFL bets. The Cardinals barely missed the win on Sunday against the Jaguars. Surely the regression to the mean of outcomes will finally yield them an actual win. Grabbing the Cardinals moneyline over an injured Tampa Bay squad at +120 odds!

2) O/U - Over / Under

The over just missed on Sunday for the Bengals due to more turnovers by both teams. There were a couple of scoring opportunities in the red zone that never transpired due to turning the ball over on both sides of the matchup. We get a special treat with the Chiefs heading to Dallas on Thursday! It’s hard to not bet against the Cowboys defense, but they have started generating more pressure lately. I think the Chiefs have to keep scoring TDs to keep up with Dak Prescott and George Pickens. Betting the Over on 52.5 for this game at -112 odds!

3) Point Spread

Brutal ending to the Ravens game. Needed them to win by 14, but they beat the Jets by only 13. I have the Giants keeping pace with the Patriots next Monday night for +7.5 points at -112. Jaxon Dart should be back, but even if he misses one more game, Winston looked explosive in his recent start. Should be a fun matchup!

4) Receptions

Luther Burden is on the cusp of breaking out. Three straight weeks of at least 55% offensive snaps while having at least 4 targets a game. This Eagles secondary has not been locking anyone down; this week Burden will take off and grab 4+ receptions at +135. Burden was the first skill position player that Ben Johnson drafted since taking over as Head Coach, so I think we are about to see an increase in opportunity for the 2025 2nd round pick.

5) Anytime Touchdown Bet

It looks like Devin Neal should be the lead back for the New Orleans Saints for the foreseeable future with Kamara hurt. Neal has been electric on the receiving end as a check down option for the rookie Tyler Shough. I think that his receiving opportunities and now increased rushing attempts will yield some redzone touches and furthermore a touchdown. Neal for an anytime TD at +265!

6) Passing TDs

Joe Burrow is back. He might look rusty, but I think his skill position players can help him out by getting into the end zone - cough, Jamar Chase. You’ll never see a line this low for Joe Burrow having 2+ TD passes. Grab this prop bet at -139 odds for his matchup with Baltimore!